Thursday, April 13, 2017

Sobering Thoughts, But Then I'm Not the One Drunk with Power

About that Kansas special election Tuesday night, and the shifting of votes:
Republican Mike Pompeo last won that district in 2016 by 30 points.
Republican Ron Estes won it Tuesday night by 7.
Yikes. That's a 23-point diminution of fortune.

Some people good at math applied that sudden reversal to all the House races of a few months ago, which would have given us a Democratic majority in the U.S. Congress. If the trend continues into 2018, and if Trump remains a pinball caroming off every electric bumper, then his mid-term congressional elections could be the whirlwind that rips the sheet.

We will know better if it's a trend after next Tuesday's special election in Georgia.


Anonymous said...

I am a little confused here. When one wins a congressional seat by 7 percentage points, does he still get to go to congress? Does his vote count less than the other Republican congressmen?
Of course, given the fact that Democrats have lost somewhere around 1,000 seats in congress and state legislative elections since Obama was first elected, I can understand why you might want to celebrate losing by smaller margins than you usually lose by.

Wolf's Head said...

Don't count your Congressmen until they're bought....