Saturday, October 28, 2006

Domino Theory

Buried in an article in today's W-S Journal is this analysis by Duke University political scientist Mike Munger:
"In any election, there is a moment, perhaps a trivial one, that focuses things in voters' minds. It can either make them choose a candidate, or make them lose enthusiasm for a candidate or party and stay home .... The question in North Carolina is this: Is the Mark Foley affair going to be that moment?"

If so, Munger said, [Robin] Hayes could lose, [Charlie] Taylor's 16-year House career will likely come to an end, and even [Madam Virginia] Foxx could be in danger.

Munger also reminds us that Hayes, Taylor and Foxx were the only GOP representatives to win with less than 60 percent of the vote in 2004.

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