MORE LEAKED EXIT POLLS. Kos is taking numbers from Slate that shows Kerry trailing Bush in N.C. by 2 points, 49 - 51.
Oh man.
And Kos says the following is from CNN:
Ohio -- African American precincts are performing at 106% what we expected, based on historical numbers. Hispanic precincts are at 144% what we expected. Precincts that went for Gore are turning out 8% higher than those that went Bush in 2000. Democratic base precincts are performing 15% higher than GOP base precincts.
Florida -- Dem base precincts are performing 14% better than Bush base precincts. In precincts that went for Gore, they are doing 6% better than those that went for Bush. African American precincts at 109%, Hispanic precincts at 106%.
Pennsylvania -- African American precincts at 102% of expectations, Hispanics at 136% of expectations. The Gore precincts are doing 4 percent better than Bush precincts.
Michigan -- Democratic base precincts are 8% better than GOP base states. Gore precincts are 5% better than Bush.
Kos is saying that if this trend holds nationally, we're looking at making major gains in both the Senate and the House.
Man oh man.
Tuesday, November 02, 2004
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