|Paul Shumaker. |
Photo Al Drago for CQ/Rollcall
This is the link to the complete Shumaker memo. I'm not going to reprint the full text here, though I'm tempted to, because it's long, choked with very interesting polling (Shumaker is an arithmetic guy, which explains why he wins so much), and probably wasn't written for general distribution. But I recommend you read it if you're a politico.
The curious thing is that hyper-conservative Brant Clifton has denigrated Mark Robinson, or pointed out his weaknesses and flaws, several times now in his Daily Haymaker blog. That corner of the hard-Right seems to be rallying to Dale Folwell for governor. But in a 3-way race, Robinson still wins.
Here's Paul Shumaker's page on the Capitol Communications website, if you want to know the full scope of his success and influence.
Rollcall 2016 article, "Meet the 'Data Guy' Behind North Carolina Republicans"