Friday, October 02, 2020

The (Flying) Fickle Finger of Fate



A few of his greatest hits:

"It's going to disappear. One day — it's like a miracle — it will disappear."

Wearing a mask? "You can do it. You don't have to do it. I'm choosing not to do it, but some people may want to do it, and that's OK. It may be good. Probably will. They're making a recommendation. It's only a recommendation."

"It affects virtually nobody. It's an amazing thing — by the way, open your schools!"

Biden’s mask-wearing as a weakness to be ridiculed: “Did you ever see a man who likes a mask as much as him? ... because, you know what, it gives him a feeling of security. If I were a psychiatrist, I’d say: ‘This guy’s got some big issues.' ”

At the Presidential Debate Tuesday night: “I don’t wear a mask like him,” Trump said, gesturing toward Biden. “Every time you see him, he’s got a mask. He could be speaking 200 feet away from him and he shows up with the biggest mask I’ve ever seen.”

Exactly four years ago today, Trump mocked Hillary Clinton for catching pneumonia:



Wednesday, September 30, 2020

BREAKING: Temporary Restraining Order to Stop ASU Student Union Early Voting Is DENIED

 

A Wake County Superior Court judge just denied t a temporary restraining order to halt early voting in the Appalachian State University Student Union. The TRO had been sought by two Republican members of the Watauga County Board of Elections, Eric Eller and Nancy Owen.


We Were Reminded Last Night: Trump Doesn't Own a Dog

 


Jerks don't like dogs.

If I were part of Joe Biden's team, I think I'd be arguing this morning that he shouldn't take part in any more events put on by the Commission on Presidential Debates. I'd probably lose that argument. The other side would say, "It'll look like he's running away. They'll say he's afraid of Trump. He's got to stand up to the abuse and remain calm." I actually also agree with those opinions, so I might end up being glad I lost the argument. But ... jeez!

Donald J. Trump isn't really running against Joe Biden. His insulting attack last night was aimed at the election itself, at the process of even having an election, for as he keeps telling us, any election that doesn't declare him a winner is illegitimate, rigged, a fraud. So last night he was trying to destroy the process itself, the very notion that there's any escape from his own chaos.


Tuesday, September 29, 2020

Send This Child to Camp

 


Dan Forest, running for governor of North Carolina against incumbent Roy Cooper, just earned a place in our list of The Dumbest Candidates in the History of the Universe. WRAL sent him and Gov. Cooper a list of six questions to answer for an on-line voters guide due to go live this Thursday. The Forest campaign curtly refused to answer the questions, alleging that the questions themselves "don't reflect reality." The questions themselves. Which leads in its own way to new questions about Forest's mental architecture.

Here are the six: 

If elected, what are your top 3 priorities?

Should all pandemic-related restrictions in North Carolina be lifted before a coronavirus vaccine is widely available? What would be the tipping point to scale them back or rescind them?

How would you handle the economic issues caused by the pandemic?

The pandemic has resulted in added expenses for public schools. Do you support a significant increase in K-12 spending to help districts, and if so, how would you pay for it?

Do you support expanding Medicaid to provide more North Carolinians with health coverage during the pandemic? If not, how do you propose caring for these people?

Do you believe there’s systemic racism in North Carolina? If so, what reforms are needed?

Three questions on COVID, and since Forest apparently thinks it's all a hoax, those questions don't reflect his reality, you bet, and one question on expanding Medicaid, and Forest wouldn't want to reflect his own reality on that issue, and that last question ... whooo boy!

I've worked on a Federal campaign and on many state of NC campaigns, and I can honestly tell you that candidates are constantly peppered with these types of questionnaires, from media outlets and pressure groups, and everyone on a campaign groans at the thought of answering another one. It takes lots of staff time to research, draft, edit, and approve, and it takes a focused candidate to make sure the answers really reflect his/her policy positions and don't give the opposition a huge coat-rack to hang attack ads on. Every campaign I've ever been associated with made value judgments about which questionnaires to spend a lot of time on and which questionnaires to blow off. 

I believe Forest picked the wrong questionnaire to blow off.


Sunday, September 27, 2020

The NCGOP’s White Supremacy Problem

 

Guest Blogging: Blair Reeves, founder of The Long Leaf Pine Slate


Racial polarization is, and has always been, an unfortunate fixture of North Carolina politics. For an old Southern state whose history is more intertwined with slavery than perhaps any other state but Virginia, this is somewhat expected. From the 
Wilmington Coup of 1898 to the Greensboro sit-ins, North Carolina’s largely white power structure has always resisted the fullest measure of racial justice and equality.

 

It would be a comforting idea to believe that North Carolina has completely changed since then. And yet, all signs indicate that our state’s right-wing flank is still locked in resistance against the rights of non-white North Carolinians. Like a chemical agent, the Trump era has both emboldened and flared the slow burn of racism inside the modern North Carolina GOP. Through actions both symbolic and real, Republicans have responded by embracing the Trumpist strategy of white grievance politics with gusto. Indeed, the party seems increasingly comfortable with its role as, in the words of Gene Nichol, a “white people’s party.” This poses major challenges to our future as a pluralistic, modern democracy.

 

Let’s just put it bluntly: the North Carolina GOP has a white supremacy problem. And it’s not getting better. Indeed, it’s likely to only get worse. And we need to talk about it in the open.

 

The opportunity in white backlash

 

Since the North Carolina GOP hijacked our state government 9 years ago, their list of offenses has grown infamous: their hyperpartisan gerrymanders and voter disenfranchisement measures have been extremely well-documented, as well as their constant lying on both issues. The political logic behind this strategy is cold-blooded and obvious: Black North Carolinians vote overwhelmingly Democratic, and Republicans don’t want Democrats to vote. This is the essential reason why North Carolina Republicans - among whom there is not a single non-white legislator - made their assault on the electoral rights of voters of color their top legislative priority.

 

But this alone doesn’t fully explain the NCGOP’s enthusiastic embrace of white grievance symbolism.

 

To be sure, racism has always been an integral part of North Carolina politics. There’s been plenty of evidence of it in both parties, though the Democrats have done a much better job overall of expunging the worst elements from their ranks. 45% of the Democratic caucus in the General Assembly is made up of people of color today, including the party’s Senate leader. 

 

By contrast, Republicans haven’t just failed to make these efforts - they’ve done the opposite. The NCGOP has made few inroads among communities of color, largely because they haven’t tried. 91% of registered Republican voters are white in a state that is about 63% white, 22% Black and 10% Hispanic. There is, again, not a single non-white Republican legislator. Instead, the party increasingly welcomes open antagonisms of our state’s atrocious record on racial justice. North Carolina Republicans simply refuse to engage on fundamental questions of racial justice. Indeed, they increasingly see “racial justice” itself as a loaded concept. 

 

Far from discouraging racial division, Republican leaders have evidently seen more opportunity in exploiting it. Across the state, we’ve seen Republican leaders fall back to the Jesse Helms strategy of pandering to white racial grievance by “protecting” Confederate monuments while attacking BLM protesters in thinly-veiled coded terms like “thugs” and “criminals.” The North Carolina chapter of the Sons of Confederate Veterans even started their own PAC to support Republican candidates they saw as friendly to the so-called “Confederate cause,” including Phil Berger, Tim Moore, Steve Troxler, and, of course, Larry Pittman. Indeed, Confederate flags are nearly interchangeable with “Trump 2020” ones at these events, as protests in Chapel Hill, Pittsboro, and Graham have shown countless times.

 


The examples of the NCGOP’s embrace of racists are almost too many to count. Attendees at a big recent Republican rally in Alamance County - which was co-organized by the founder of a local hate group - screamed “White power!” at bystanders. Sitting Republican state representatives - Dennis Riddell and Stephen Ross - spoke at that same rally. Actions like these are an unambiguous message (and, for some, a threat) to a whole community. (If that’s what they yell at unknown passers-by, one can only imagine what they say among themselves.)

 

Was it inevitable that Republican leaders would embrace the racists in their party? After all, the dominant Republican opinion-leader in the country, Donald Trump, has made overt racism a hallmark of his presidency. It would’ve taken real political courage for Republican leaders - especially in the South - to resist that potent siren call from above. But as we know, political courage is in very short supply at the NCGOP. Instead, we’ve seen Republicans in Raleigh do the opposite. And this says volumes about where their party is headed.

 

Demographics is destiny

 

The data is clear: North Carolina is quickly becoming a more diverse and less rural state. Whites, while still a clear majority of voters, are continuing a long-term trend of decline as a percentage of the whole. White voters were a little over 70% of the total state electorate in 2016, and they are currently about 66.6% today, according to the State Board of Elections. They will likely drop below 60% of North Carolina’s total electorate by 2028, if not sooner. Instead, multiracial voters - particularly Hispanics - are becoming a larger share of the electorate.

 

This is a nightmare scenario if your party is overwhelmingly white and rural and relies on its base’s worst instincts of racism for power. But as the pool of white voters slowly shrinks, losing even a small proportion over insufficiently strong support for Lost Cause mythology could be decisive for them. But instead of broadening their appeal, we have instead seen the NCGOP double down on attempts to consolidate the white vote with grievance politics.

 

Ideally, we would have two (or more) parties that both tried to appeal to all constituencies in North Carolina. Black, Hispanic, Asian, Native American, and other voters are just like white ones in the sense that each group contains a wide range of ideological and political preferences. Black conservatives very much exist - they’re not even uncommon! But the fact that so many feel demonstrably uncomfortable voting for Republicans should give us all reason to think truthfully about why. It is not, as Republican leaders like to claim, simply a “messaging” or “packaging” problem.

 

The Democratic Party is far from perfect itself. White Democrats in particular must be sensitive to how our party speaks to and includes non-white representation. For the large majority of its history, the state of North Carolina has been actively hostile to its non-white residents - and especially voters. And that’s when the state even considered them fully human at all. We are well within living memory of nonwhite residents not enjoying the full benefits of citizenship. And it was not the beneficence of white North Carolinians that won those basic civil rights for Black and non-white citizens; it was federal enforcement action. (It may yet be that way again.) It is incumbent on white Democrats to understand this history as a good reason for centering Black representation - both in our party and in our state as a whole. In a quickly diversifying state and nation, this strategy is not only how we will all win, but how we will make our government best serve its people.

 

And what about the Republicans? Well, it isn’t up to us to solve their problems for them. If Republican leaders simply lack the courage (or perhaps the interest) to lead their party into accepting North Carolina as a pluralistic, multiracial democracy, then that is their problem. Our job is not to help Republicans rehabilitate their own party - our job is to win. By winning, and building a strong progressive movement in our state, we can keep the other side out of power. We are, after all, a majority in North Carolina. Let’s act like it.


Saturday, September 26, 2020

NCGOP Gets On Board With Trump: Absentee Ballots in NC Are Now To Be Considered Fraudulent



We know that David Black and Ken Raymond, the two Republicans on the state Board of Elections (SBOE), resigned from the board barely 24 hours after agreeing to changes to absentee-by-mail balloting to resolve complaints in two law suits. Black and Raymond, in their resignation letters, alleged that they were essentially duped into agreeing to the settlement. In response to those claims, the SBOE released the minutes of the closed session showing pretty conclusively that both Black and Raymond were active and willing participants in the discussions and agreed to all the changes.

If a judge approves the lawsuit settlement — which will be up for debate in court Oct. 2 — the new rules would make it easier for voters to fix problems with absentee ballots by signing an affidavit to confirm their identity, instead of having to start over from scratch with a new ballot.

The changes would also extend the number of days after the election that mail-in ballots could arrive and still be counted, and would tweak the rules surrounding the process for people to get a mail-in ballot but then drop it off in person, either at their county elections office or during early voting at a polling place. (Will Doran et al.)

We of course suspected that Black and Raymond had been forced to resign (because we may have fallen off the turnip truck, but we didn't land on our head), and Black's wife Deb totally spilled the beans on Facebook and removed all doubt: “... these resignations were not voluntary. They were told to resign. Sad times when republicans are firing intelligent and trustworthy republicans.”

The subtext for the forced resignations appears to be this: Black and Raymond, by participating in and agreeing to the legal settlement, were messing with the Trumpist message taking shape across the country: The November elections will be invalid/fradulent because of absentee voting. Senate Republican boss Phil Berger took up the cry with gusto, alleging that the changes to absentee-by-mail voting "is inviting folks to do things to game an election.” Do things. Classic Trumpist innuendo minus evidence.

Berger was just falling in line with the narrative launched by Trump two days earlier: "Get rid of the ballots!" Echoed one day  after that by the eternally flip-flopping Sen. Thom Tillis who vowed he had "grave concerns." Just two days earlier he had said he had so much faith in the absentee system that he challenged his Democratic challenger, Cal Cunningham, to vote by mail.

It's a unified front of Republican office-holders trying to invalidate the election ahead of time for reasons we perfectly understand, and David Black and Ken Raymond were inconvenient to the narrative.

Enter Stage Right ... Four Eggers

Raleigh reporter Tim Boyum reported this morning that Stacy C. Eggers IV, the "Four" of local voter suppression fame, is one of the names being pushed forward by the NCGOP as a replacement member on the SBOE.

Oh goody!

Friday, September 25, 2020

Trump Depression. It's a Thing

 

I don't know what gets you down. If the daily dose of this guy Trump doesn't smite your cheeks, then you might be a fan and revel in the cruelty.

But depression? I've always worked jobs to vaccinate myself against it. Getting something done that needs doing, that's the ticket. But you get old and infirm and hunkered down to body blows and can't work in your garden, so you spend entirely too much time on screens. And because you're susceptible to hard news ("fake" to the fans), you absorb every new breach of ethics and morality and basic humanity like hammer blows, and because there is no chance that Trump can ever repent and become human, you slip a little into a spiritual malaise of your own making, a black hole. Why has god abandoned us?

Do you feel powerless, except for your vote? Your vote, which until this guy Trump came along seemed an inviolable right. Now it's endangered too. I've voted absentee by mail for several elections and have already sent in my ballot for 2020, and now I'm told by the authoritarian that he can probably eliminate my absentee ballot too and have his judges declare him a winner. 

As of today we have these stats on mail-in balloting in NC:

Absentee by-mail ballots cast in NC so far: 198,130

Absentee by-mail ballots cast in 2016 presidential election: 199,775

Absentee by-mail requests so far in 2020: 1,002,874

Bottomline: We're about to surpass absentee balloting in 2016, and there are still over 800,000 absentee ballots still out there and still waiting to be marked and delivered.

The developments of just the last 48 hours could reduce you to a pulp of impotent outrage (what a name for a oom-pah band!). 

“Well, we’re going to have to see what happens. You know that I’ve been complaining very strongly about the ballots and the ballots are a disaster — .... Get rid of the ballots, and you’ll have a very — we’ll have a very peaceful trans-, there won’t be a transfer, frankly. There’ll be a continuation.”

“I think this will end up in the Supreme Court. And I think it’s very important that we have nine justices,” Trump said. “It’s better if you go before the election, because I think this, this scam that the Democrats are pulling — it’s a scam — the scam will be before the United States Supreme Court. And I think having a 4-4 situation is not a good situation.”

Rachel Maddow said last night that what we're going to do about this crisis is what we're doing right now, a penetrating and sobering insight. If we're sitting on the couch watching Netflix and worrying, that doesn't bode well for how we'll go into the looming constitutional crisis of 2021. We've got to stop giving in to hopelessness and do what we can. It's more than just believing in the resistance. We have to do, we have to stay aware, we have to contribute what we can or do what we must -- give money, make phone calls, knock doors, write letters, publish editorials, do the oppo research and keep our powder dry. Activism ain't depressed. It may be spooked by the whiff of Armageddon -- the effective end of the Republic -- but it doesn't lose sight of what's good: North Carolina boards of elections count the absentee-by-mail ballots first.


Don't let Trump depression warp the reality that there are signs of restoration all around us, from the flight from Trump by former Republican loyalists, to the flush of former military men running as liberal Democrats (documented on this site for months), to the wave theory of special elections in 2017 and the 2018 midterms, to the consistent polling showing advantage Democrats (the wave continues and grows). Our own good signs are evil omens for the other side, so I shouldn't wonder about a growing depression not in us but in the traditional rural Republicans all around us, whose own humbleness and religious faith and reverence for the law makes the embarrassing Mr. Trump a discouragement to civic activity, and the thought of actually defending him a hard option.


Thursday, September 24, 2020

Both Republicans Resigned Last Night From the NC Board of Elections

 


Republican NCSBE members David Black and Ken Raymond submitted hurried (un-proofread) letters of resignation only hours after they had agreed -- along with the Democratic members -- to a legal settlement over certain problems with mail-in ballots ... fueling a rumor that they were forced to resign by NCGOP bosses unhappy that they had failed to make absentee voting harder in North Carolina.

The legal settlement that Black and Raymond had agreed to, "if approved by a judge, would create new rules to make it easier for people to fix mistakes on their mail-in ballots. It also would extend the amount of time after the election that absentee ballots could come in and still be counted" (Will Doran and Jessica Banov).

Black and Raymond said they were resigning "on principle," the principle apparently being that the NCGOP leadership is mad because North Carolina isn't suppressing the vote enough.

The NCGOP must now submit names to Gov. Roy Cooper for replacement appointments.

The forced resignation of Black and Raymond -- if they were forced -- seems part of an overall scheme by Trumpists everywhere to cloak absentee-by-mail balloting in a pall of "fraud" to make it easier for Twitterman to declare himself the winner even if he isn't and to complete the politicizing of the Supreme Court (conveniently equipped by November 3rd with a new Trump toady put there to protect his interests).