Ruy Teixeira is summarizing Los Angeles Times polling in Ohio, Missouri, and Wisconsin conducted AFTER R. Reagan's passing, and the hoped-for "death bounce" for Bush has not materialized.
But the Rovians are dribbling that ball furiously down-court anyway. You'll have to find the Reelect Bush/Cheney website on your own, but it's worth noting that it's now a Ronald Reagan site with many more pictures of John Kerry (all unflattering, natch!) than of El Presidente. The strategy here appears to be: we can win Bush/Cheney if we run someone else.